中国的出生率是否低到足以引起人口危机?

Is China’s birth rate low enough to cause population crisis?
中国的出生率是否低到足以引起人口危机?

Now that the 30-page seventh national population census communiqué which contains thousands of figures has been released, what is behind the data and what does it reveal about the true picture of China’s demographic changes? How strong should China’s population policy adjustment be to cope with the trend? How low is Chinese couple’s willingness to have more children, could it be low enough to result in a population crisis a few years from now? And should China reward couples with 1 million yuan ($155,400) for every child they have, as advised by some demographers?

现在已经发布了长达30页的第七次全国人口普查公报,其中包含数千个数字,这些数据的背后是什么?它揭示了中国人口变化的真实面貌吗? 为了应对这一趋势,中国的人口政策调整应有多强? 中国夫妇生育更多孩子的意愿到底有多低,会不会低到导致几年后发生人口危机的程度? 某些人口统计学家的建议,中国是否应该为每对生育的孩子奖励100万元人民币(155,400美元)?

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