IMF Cuts Global Growth Forecast to 3.1 Percent on Inflation Risks
IMF下调全球增长预期至3.1%，警告通胀升至4.7%
The International Monetary Fund cut its global growth forecast for 2026 to 3.1 percent, down from 3.3 percent projected earlier this year, warning that higher commodity prices and trade tensions are weighing on the world economy. In its World Economic Outlook released on October 13, the IMF said global headline inflation is projected to rise to 4.7 percent this year before easing to 4.1 percent in 2027, with core inflation at 3.9 percent in 2026. The fund said economies have shown resilience in rerouting energy supplies, but urged decisive policy action to keep inflation expectations anchored and to address rising debt levels. Growth is expected to rebound to 3.4 percent in 2027.
国际货币基金组织（IMF）将2026年全球增长预测下调至3.1%，低于今年早些时候预计的3.3%，警告大宗商品价格上涨和贸易紧张正在拖累世界经济。在10月13日发布的《世界经济展望》中，IMF预计今年全球总体通胀将升至4.7%，2027年回落至4.1%，2026年核心通胀为3.9%。IMF表示，各国在重新配置能源供应方面展现出韧性，但敦促采取果断政策行动以稳定通胀预期并应对不断攀升的债务水平。预计2027年全球增长将回升至3.4%。
