Fed Expected to Hold Rates in October as Inflation Picks Up to 3.7 Percent
美联储10月料按兵不动，12月加息预期升温；美国9月CPI升至3.7%
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged when it concludes its meeting this week, after inflation picked up more than expected in September. Government data showed the consumer price index rose 3.7 percent in September from a year earlier, up from 3.4 percent in August, while core inflation climbed to 2.6 percent, the highest since June. Futures markets put the chance of a hold at about 90 percent, but traders see a growing probability of a quarter-point hike in December. The Fed raised rates to a range of 3.75 to 4 percent in September, its latest move to cool price pressures, and officials have signaled they will keep policy tight until inflation durably returns to target.
市场普遍预期美联储本周结束议息会议时将维持利率不变，此前美国9月通胀涨幅超预期。官方数据显示，9月消费者价格指数同比上涨3.7%，高于8月的3.4%；核心通胀升至2.6%，为6月以来最高。期货市场显示10月按兵不动的概率约为90%，但交易员认为12月加息25个基点的可能性正在上升。美联储9月已加息至3.75%至4%区间，是其为压制物价压力采取的最新举措，官员们表示在通胀持续回落至目标前将保持紧缩政策。
